From the Middle East Times:
Israel has been providing intelligence and satellite images to the U.S. about a secret Syrian nuclear program for several months, according to media reports. Discussions between Israel and the United States took place last summer regarding a possible strike. But when Israel found the matter so pressing that when they realized the U.S. was not ready to act, on September 6 they attacked a Syrian nuclear site. Hence the question: what is Syria really up to or more to the point what is Iran up to?
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Another proof of what transpired came from ranking Republicans on the House Intelligence and Foreign Relations committees, Ileana Ros-Lehtinen and Peter Hoekstra, who were briefed on the Israeli strike and sworn to secrecy. They wrote an op-ed in the October 20 Wall Street Journal clearly underlining the seriousness of the situation regarding both the North Korean and Iranian involvement in the Syrian arms program.
Finally, the fact that the Bush administration (including President George W. Bush, Vice President Dick Cheney and most notably Defense Secretary Robert Gates) has been ramping up the rhetoric and taking action against Iran (including the latest sanctions against the Iranian Revolutionary Guards) in the past week, might also be linked to what really happened in Syria.
The Syrian story is far from over: in fact, on October 23, Al Seyassah ran a story about potential new secret nuclear sites in Syria. According to Western sources cited by the paper, it is possible that Syria is developing other nuclear sites with the help of North Korea, Iran and Iraqi experts, the latter who fled their country at the start of the Iraq war in 2003. In fact, observation satellites have allegedly located in Syria at least two other sites similar to the one destroyed by Israel last month.
Iran’s handwriting is all over the wall from the chemical to the nuclear arms program in Syria. Indeed, in research conducted last year as part of an article published in Washington’s The Examiner, this reporter delved into Syrian’s secret nuclear program, making the point that Syria might actually be “Plan B” for Iran. By helping develop nuclear sites in Syria, strikes on Iran might turn out to be useless. This was a smart strategy until Israel bombed the Syrian nuclear site on September 6 and made the world notice.
Meanwhile, from today’s NY Sun:
The Justice Department is urging a federal court to go easy on Iran in a legal dispute in which terrorism victims are attempting to seize valuable Iranian antiquities held by American research institutions.
“This court should exercise circumspection in light of the potential foreign policy implications of requiring broad discovery of a foreign sovereign,” a Justice Department lawyer, Rupa Bhattacharyya, wrote in a “Statement of Interest” filed in federal court in Chicago last week. The attorney urged the court to limit the terrorism victims’ ability to gather information about the antiquities because Iran is entitled to be treated with “grace and comity” in American legal proceedings.
“They’re certainly not offering anything to help the victims,” the lawyer pressing to seize the Iranian artifacts, David Strachman, complained in an interview. “Nominally at least, this helps Iran. That’s the irony of the situation.”
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Mr. Strachman moved to seize the artifacts on behalf of four Americans and one veteran of the American military who were injured in a triple-suicide bombing on Jerusalem’s Ben Yehuda Street in 1997. At least five people died and more than 200 were wounded in the attack.
Hamas claimed responsibility for the bombing, but, according to Mr. Strachman, those who trained the bombers received their instruction in terrorism techniques from Iranian operatives in Lebanon. In 2003, after Iran failed to respond to a lawsuit over the bombing, a federal court in Rhode Island issued a default judgment against Tehran for $71 million in compensatory damages and $180 million in punitive damages.
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The main issue in the case at the moment is determining the provenance, or chain of ownership, of the artifacts. The terrorism victims are seeking information from the university, the museum, and the Iranian government about how the antiquities were obtained by the American institutions.
In a bizarre twist, the Iranians may be in a better position legally if they can show that they have no ownership interest in the artifacts. That would permit the university and the museum to return items to Iran, essentially as gifts, which would be a difficult transaction for the victims to block.
However, if the items are Iranian property being maintained or restored by the American institutions, Mr. Strachman believes he has a strong claim to seize them. He also argues that where no provenance can be established, the artifacts should be deemed to have been stolen from Iran, and therefore subject to seizure by his clients.
“If they don’t have provenance on it … then it belongs to Iran,” the lawyer said. “It didn’t come from the University of Chicago’s back field.”
Nothing new here. From July:
WASHINGTON — The Navy is making plans to reduce the American presence in the Persian Gulf by the end of the summer to a single carrier group, down from the two carrier groups now in the Gulf.
The preparations to reduce the American presence in the Persian Gulf, off the coast of Iran, come as a third carrier group, the USS Enterprise, is set to arrive this week. But just as the Enterprise arrives, the USS Nimitz is planning to redeploy. Meanwhile the remaining carrier group, the USS John Stennis, is slated to leave the Gulf by summer’s end.
In the standoff between Iran and America, the decision to reduce the American carrier presence in the Persian Gulf indicates a softer line. Already, robust proposals inside the administration to designate Iran’s Revolutionary Guard a foreign terrorist entity have run into bureaucratic resistance from the State Department and Pentagon civilian leadership. At the intelligence level, comments are now being sought on the prospects of a back channel to Iran’s former president, Ali Akbar Hashemi Rafsanjani. Mr. Rafsanjani is a rival of President Ahmadinejad, who ascended to power in 2005 and has threatened to destroy Israel.
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President Bush sent USS Stennis to the Gulf in February following the high-profile detention in Irbil, Iraq of five men alleged to be members of Iran’s Quds Force. The commanding general of American forces in Iraq, General David Petraeus, earlier this year accused the Quds force of masterminding the assassinations of American soldiers in Karbala.
Release of the five members of the revolutionary guard has been a key demand of Iran’s ambassador in Baghdad, Hassan Kazemi Qomi. The State Department has also argued internally for the release of the five men, but has been refused by General Petraeus on the grounds that all five are threats to coalition and Iraqi soldiers.
In May, America’s ambassador in Baghdad, Ryan Crocker, held meetings with Mr. Qomi, in part to explore the possibility of joint security cooperation between America and Iran, but also to confront the ambassador with evidence of Iran’s role in aiding the terrorist insurgency.
For now, the main focus of American diplomacy with Iran will be through the United Nations. Today the deputy director of the International Atomic Energy Agency, Olli Heinone, is scheduled to arrive in Tehran for talks with Iran’s top nuclear negotiator, Ali Larijani, on the remaining questions the Islamic Republic has yet to answer concerning its entire nuclear program.
Iran has according to some estimates already placed at least 1,500 centrifuges at its Natanz facility and has begun the process for enriching nuclear fuel. Israel, the state most threatened by an Iranian A-bomb, now estimates that Iran could have a nuclear weapon as early as 2009.
The spinning of those centrifuges is an explicit rejection of Iran’s earlier agreement with England, France, and Germany to halt fuel enrichment during negotiations with the United Nations. This month, the director of the International Atomic Energy Agency, Mohammed ElBaradei, proposed a plan whereby Iran would freeze its enrichment activities in exchange for a freeze of further sanctions. The Bush administration has rejected the formula.
Then, there is this:
The State Department will forgo pushing for the release of the five Americans now held hostage in Iran’s Evin Prison at a meeting in Baghdad between America’s and Iran’s ambassadors today.
American diplomats said they expect their Iranian counterparts to repeat their demand for the release of dozens of Iranian nationals rounded up by the recent American mission to disrupt and destroy Iran’s terrorism networks in Iraq.
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“It is a missed opportunity not to allow these people to leave for the past two months,” he said.
The Americans being held include the director of the Woodrow Wilson Center’s Middle East program, Haleh Esfandiari. The Iranian-American wife of Shaul Bakhash, America’s most respected scholar of Shiite Islam, Ms. Esfandiari appeared on Iranian television last week in what Mr. Bakhash told the Washington Post was a deceptively edited, scripted “confession” that mirrored the talking points of the Iranian Intelligence Ministry.
Some within the national security bureaucracy believe that the abduction and jailing of the four Iranian-Americans and a former FBI official, Robert Levinson, are in response to America’s campaign against Iran’s network in Iraq, American intelligence sources said. When Iran’s Revolutionary Guard took British sailors hostage in March, the crew was released only after an Iranian second secretary from the Iranian Embassy in Baghdad was returned from his detention in an Iraqi-American detention facility, they noted.
Iran has already won the right to check in on five men rounded up by the Americans in January at an Iranian building in Irbil, Iraq.
The Iranian ambassador in Baghdad, Hassan Kazemi Qomi, has described the five men as diplomats working at one of Iran’s consulates. Coalition forces have said the men were senior Iranian operatives working with local terrorists.
Inside the administration, Secretary of State Rice has previously pressed the top American commander in Iraq, General David Petraeus, to agree to release the men in exchange for concessions, according to a Washington diplomat. The general, still pressing on with his rollback of the Iranian network, has declined her request.
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“Now, after the first meeting, we haven’t seen really any appreciable change in their behavior, certainly not for the positive,” Mr. McCormack said.
“We had gone into this with the thought in mind that perhaps more than one meeting would be required. So the secretary, in consultation with the White House, decided that there another one more meeting was merited, so that we could underscore for the Iranian government directly the importance of their changing behavior, if they truly do want to match their actions with their words.”
Mr. McCormack made reference yesterday to an Iranian network supplying sophisticated roadside explosives to militias and terrorists in Iraq.
On Sunday, coalition forces announced the arrest of a man they claimed was an Iraqi arms dealer connected to the Iranian Quds Force in eastern Iraq, near the border with Iran.
Additionally,
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German Chancellor Angela Merkel’s meetings last week with President Bush further underscored differences in Europe over the course of action to be followed. Unlike recent statement by French and British leaders, German leaders have continued to express their reticence to restrict banking activities, commercial deals and investments in Iran. Merkel again stressed Germany’s position that the Security Council, rather than the EU Council, is the proper forum for seeking agreement on further sanctions. She also insisted that the current round of negotiations be allowed to run through before new sanctions are considered. And, even in the likely event that such further negotiations go no-where, she committed herself only to having “a closer look again at {sanctions} and possibl(e) need to work together with our German business community. I will talk with them again on further possible reductions of those commercial ties.” At the other end of the spectrum, British Prime Minister Gordon Brown has called for a worldwide ban on all companies developing Iran’s oil and gas fields if Iran fails to curb its nuclear ambitions.
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America should bomb Iran and Syria beyond recognition, before we are destroyed.